Major League Soccer

May 26, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Toyota Stadium

Dallas
3 - 3
Salt Lake

Illarramendi (45+4' og., 45+4'), Delgado (57', 57'), Arriola (59', 59')
Fraser (38'), Fraser (38'), Paes (80'), Paes (80'), Norris (81'), Norris (81'), Ibeagha (86'), Ibeagha (86'), Ibeagha (87'), Ibeagha (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Luna (61', 61'), Julio (73', 73'), Palacio (90+8', 90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 1-1 Dallas
Sunday, May 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: Salt Lake 5-3 Colorado
Sunday, May 19 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Dallas	Draw	Real Salt Lake
47.75% ( -0.22)	23.45% ( 0.03)	28.79% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 60.19% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.83% (

-0.04)

41.17% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.43% (

-0.04)

63.56% (

0.04)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.53% (

-0.1)

17.47% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.05% (

-0.18)

47.95% (

0.17)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.93% (

0.11)

27.06% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.56% (

0.14)

62.43% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Dallas 47.75%

Real Salt Lake 28.79%

Draw 23.45%

Dallas	Draw	Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.9% Total : 47.75%	1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.45%	1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 28.79%