Major League Soccer

May 5, 2024 at 2.30am UK

Rio Tinto Stadium

Salt Lake
1 - 0
Kansas

Arango (81', 81')
Eneli (14'), Eneli (14'), Vera (47'), Vera (47'), Arango (90'), Arango (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rodriguez (90+4'), Rodriguez (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 1-2 Salt Lake
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-1 Kansas
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 56.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.

Result
Real Salt Lake	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
56.92% ( -0.37)	21.88% ( 0.17)	21.2% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 57.32% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.8% (

-0.54)

41.2% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.41% (

-0.55)

63.59% (

0.55)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.71% (

-0.3)

14.29% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.91% (

-0.58)

42.09% (

0.58)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.87% (

-0.12)

33.12% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.27% (

-0.14)

69.72% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Real Salt Lake 56.92%

Sporting Kansas City 21.2%

Draw 21.87%

Real Salt Lake	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.09% Total : 56.92%	1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.87%	1-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 21.2%