Major League Soccer

Jun 2, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Allianz Field

Minnesota Utd
3 - 1
Kansas

Oluwaseyi (33', 33'), Lod (67', 67'), Arriaga (83', 83')
Padelford (16'), Padelford (16'), Harvey (25'), Harvey (25'), Oluwaseyi (64'), Oluwaseyi (64'), Rosales (88'), Rosales (88')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Russell (86', 86')
Radoja (32'), Radoja (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Los Angeles 2-0 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, May 30 at 3.45am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 1-2 Vancouver
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
48.02% ( -0.04)	22.82% ( 0.01)	29.15% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 62.75% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.08% (

37.92% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.83% (

0.01)

60.17% (

-0.01)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.87% (

-0.01)

16.13% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.44% (

-0.02)

45.56% (

0.02)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.82% (

0.03)

25.18% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.1% (

0.04)

59.9% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 48.02%

Sporting Kansas City 29.15%

Draw 22.82%

Minnesota United	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.41% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.91% 4-1 @ 2.59% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 3.66% Total : 48.02%	1-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.82%	1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.6% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 29.15%