Major League Soccer

Jun 20, 2024 at 3.30am UK

Avaya Stadium

Earthquakes
1 - 2
Portland

Marie (50', 50')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Evander (22', 22'), Rodriguez (72', 72')
Bravo (48'), Bravo (48'), Evander (76'), Evander (76'), Fogaca (87'), Fogaca (87'), Moreno (89'), Moreno (89'), Miller (90+4'), Miller (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 2-4 Cincinnati
Sunday, June 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 0-0 Portland
Sunday, June 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 52.88%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 24.12% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Portland Timbers
52.88% ( -0.01)	23% ( -0)	24.12% ( 0)

Both teams to score 57.37% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.06% (

0.02)

42.94% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.66% (

0.02)

65.34% (

-0.01)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.76% (

16.24% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.23% (

0.01)

45.77% (

-0.01)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.5% (

0.01)

31.5% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.11% (

0.02)

67.89% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 52.88%

Portland Timbers 24.12%

Draw 23%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Portland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.91% 3-0 @ 5.12% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.69% 4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 52.88%	1-1 @ 10.74% 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23%	1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.41% 1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.72% Total : 24.12%