Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.