Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.9%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 22.99% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.63%) and 1-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 55.9% ( | 21.11% ( | 22.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.71% ( | 35.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.69% ( | 57.3% ( |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.35% ( | 12.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.2% ( | 38.79% ( |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% ( | 28.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.07% ( | 63.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 2-0 @ 7.63% ( 1-0 @ 7.38% ( 3-1 @ 6.65% ( 3-0 @ 5.26% ( 3-2 @ 4.21% ( 4-1 @ 3.44% ( 4-0 @ 2.72% ( 4-2 @ 2.18% ( 5-1 @ 1.42% ( 5-0 @ 1.13% ( 4-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 55.9% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0-0 @ 3.57% ( 3-3 @ 1.78% ( Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.11% | 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.45% Total : 22.99% |