Major League Soccer

May 5, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Levi's Stadium

Earthquakes
3 - 1
Los Angeles

Rodrigues (5', 5'), Pellegrino (55', 55'), Bouanga (59' og., 59' og.)
Skahan (10'), Skahan (10'), Costa (75'), Costa (75')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Olivera (69', 69')
Chanot (25'), Chanot (25'), Palencia (61'), Palencia (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Nashville 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Portland
Sunday, April 28 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Los Angeles FC
40.37% ( 0.13)	26.33% ( -0.01)	33.29% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 52.65% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.01% (

0.01)

51.99% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.27% (

0.01)

73.73% (

-0.01)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.65% (

0.07)

25.34% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.87% (

0.1)

60.13% (

-0.1)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.52% (

-0.07)

29.48% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.51% (

-0.09)

65.49% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 40.37%

Los Angeles FC 33.29%

Draw 26.33%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Los Angeles FC
1-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 40.37%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33%	0-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.29%