Major League Soccer

Jun 16, 2024 at 3.30am UK

Avaya Stadium

Earthquakes
2 - 4
Cincinnati

Lopez (57', 57'), Espinoza (72', 72')
Lopez (90+4'), Lopez (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bucha (54', 54'), Kubo (78', 78', 80', 80', 87', 87')
Kelsy (66'), Kelsy (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 5-1 Earthquakes
Saturday, June 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 0-2 Nashville
Thursday, May 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	FC Cincinnati
42.94% ( -0.06)	24.39% ( -0.01)	32.67% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 59.04% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.39% (

0.07)

43.61% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34% (

0.07)

66% (

-0.07)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.55% (

20.44% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.1% (

0.01)

52.89% (

-0.01)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.21% (

0.08)

25.78% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.27% (

0.1)

60.73% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 42.94%

FC Cincinnati 32.67%

Draw 24.39%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 42.94%	1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.39%	1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.67%