Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 22.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Austin FC |
| 53.36% ( | 23.95% | 22.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.45% | 48.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.32% | 70.67% ( |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.87% | 18.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.91% ( | 49.08% ( |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.13% ( | 35.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.36% ( | 72.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Austin FC |
| 1-0 @ 11.1% 2-1 @ 9.72% 2-0 @ 9.48% 3-1 @ 5.53% 3-0 @ 5.4% ( 3-2 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-0 @ 2.3% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.42% Total : 53.36% | 1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 6.5% 2-2 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.95% | 0-1 @ 6.67% 1-2 @ 5.84% 0-2 @ 3.42% 1-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.7% 0-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.89% Total : 22.68% |