Major League Soccer

Jul 5, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Toyota Stadium

Dallas
3 - 2
Portland

Musa (49', 49'), Burgess (61', 61'), Paredes (87' og., 87' og.)
Illarramendi (22'), Illarramendi (22'), Kamungo (90'), Ibeagha (90+9'), Twumasi (90+4'), Kamungo (90'), Ibeagha (90+9'), Twumasi (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Antony (8', 8'), Evander (64', 64')
Neville (23'), Neville (23'), Evander (90+9'), Evander (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: Dallas 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, June 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 3-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
Dallas	Draw	Portland Timbers
46.11% ( -0.59)	23.8% ( 0.24)	30.09% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 59.84% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.98% (

-0.92)

42.01% (

0.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.58% (

-0.93)

64.42% (

0.93)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.55% (

-0.6)

18.45% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.37% (

-1.02)

49.63% (

1.02)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.37% (

-0.23)

26.62% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.14% (

-0.31)

61.86% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Dallas 46.11%

Portland Timbers 30.09%

Draw 23.79%

Dallas	Draw	Portland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.52% Total : 46.11%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.79%	1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 30.09%