Major League Soccer

Jun 30, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Toyota Stadium

Dallas
0 - 1
Cincinnati

Norris (58'), Norris (58'), T (82'), Ibeagha (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Orellano (47', 47')
Kubo (18'), Kubo (18'), Powell (56'), Powell (56'), Yedlin (61'), Yedlin (61'), Kelsy (65'), Kelsy (65'), Celentano (88'), Celentano (88'), Acosta (90+4'), Acosta (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: Seattle 3-2 Dallas
Sunday, June 23 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 1-2 New England
Sunday, June 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Dallas win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
Dallas	Draw	FC Cincinnati
35.71% ( -0.06)	24.08% ( 0)	40.2% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 60.98% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.56% (

-0.02)

41.43% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.17% (

-0.03)

63.83% (

0.03)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.97% (

-0.04)

23.03% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.16% (

-0.07)

56.84% (

0.06)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.22% (

0.02)

20.78% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.57% (

0.02)

53.43% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Dallas 35.71%

FC Cincinnati 40.2%

Draw 24.08%

Dallas	Draw	FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.03% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 35.71%	1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.78% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.08%	1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 40.2%