Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Jun 20, 2024 12.45am
4
3
HT : 2 2
FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium
Philadelphia
  • Kipp Keller 6' yellowcard
  • Kipp Keller 6' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kelsy 29' goal
  • Kevin Kelsy 29' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 49' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 49' goal
  • Luca Orellano 60' goal
  • Luca Orellano 60' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 90'+10' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 90'+10' goal
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 12'
  • yellowcard Jack Elliott 12'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 12'
  • yellowcard Jack Elliott 12'
  • goal Tai Baribo 43'
  • goal Tai Baribo 43'
  • goal Jesus Bueno 55'
  • goal Jesus Bueno 55'
  • yellowcard Jack McGlynn 81'
  • yellowcard Jack McGlynn 81'
  • goal Tai Baribo 90'+1'
  • goal Tai Baribo 90'+1'

FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 16, 2024 3.30am
Earthquakes 2 - 4 Cincinnati
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Luciano Acosta

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 16, 2024 12.30am
Philadelphia 1 - 2 Inter Miami
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Daniel Gazdag

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 52.55%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 23.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result

FC Cincinnati 52.55% ▲ (+0.85)
Draw 23.57% ▼ (-0.16)
Philadelphia Union 23.87% ▼ (-0.69)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.17% ▼ (-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.28% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 45.72% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 31.96% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 68.04% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 16.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.95% ▼ (-0.03)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 82.63% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 0.5 17.37% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 1.5 52.22% ▲ (+0.58)
Under 1.5 47.78% ▼ (-0.58)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 66.77% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 0.5 33.23% ▲ (+0.56)
Over 1.5 30.16% ▼ (-0.62)
Under 1.5 69.84% ▲ (+0.63)

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 52.55%
Draw 23.57%
Philadelphia Union 23.87%
FC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.1% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.74% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.18)
3-1 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.16)
3-2 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.10)
4-2 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 52.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.13% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.57%
Philadelphia Union
0-1 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.12)
1-2 @ 6.13% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.12)
1-3 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 23.87%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Nov 26, 2023 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nippert Stadium
Philadelphia
  • Ray Gaddis 30' yellowcard
  • Aaron Boupendza 76' yellowcard
  • Aaron Boupendza 76' yellowcard
  • Yerson Mosquera 90'+4' goal
  • Yerson Mosquera 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Damion Lowe 11'
  • yellowcard Julian Carranza 51'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Sep 17, 2023 12.30am
2
2
HT : 4 0
FT Subaru Park
Cincinnati
  • Jack Elliott 19' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 19' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 21' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 21' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 23' goal
  • Jose Andres Martinez 23' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 37' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 37' goal
  • Damion Lowe 42' yellowcard
  • Damion Lowe 42' yellowcard
  • Julian Carranza 63' yellowcard
  • Julian Carranza 63' yellowcard
  • Kai Wagner 74' yellowcard
  • Kai Wagner 74' yellowcard
  • Tai Baribo 85' yellowcard
  • Tai Baribo 85' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 90'+4' redcard
  • Jack Elliott 90'+4' redcard
  • yellowcard Matt Miazga 18'
  • yellowcard Matt Miazga 18'
  • yellowcard Roman Celentano 35'
  • yellowcard Roman Celentano 35'
  • yellowcard Yerson Mosquera 36'
  • yellowcard Yerson Mosquera 36'
  • goal Aaron Boupendza 49'
  • goal Aaron Boupendza 49'
  • yellowcard Nick Hagglund 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Nick Hagglund 45'+4'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 76'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 76'
  • redcard Yerson Mosquera 83'
  • redcard Yerson Mosquera 83'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Apr 9, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Philadelphia
  • Luciano Acosta 69' goal
MLS Playoffs
Philadelphia
Oct 21, 2022 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Cincinnati
  • Leon Flach 59' goal
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Philadelphia
  • Geoff Cameron 34' yellowcard
  • Brandon Vazquez 50' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 54' yellowcard
  • Brenner 55' goal
  • Nick Hagglund 66' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Barreal 71' goal
  • goal Paxten Aaronson 77'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Jun 19, 2022 12.30am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Cincinnati
  • Alejandro Bedoya 17' goal
  • Cory Burke 64' yellowcard
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 39'
  • yellowcard Haris Medunjanin 55'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 57'
  • yellowcard Nick Hagglund 62'
  • yellowcard John Nelson 68'

Form Data

Earthquakes 2 - 4 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 0 - 2 Nashville
Toronto 3 - 4 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 3 - 1 St Louis City
Cincinnati 1 - 0 Atlanta
Columbus Crew 1 - 2 Cincinnati
Philadelphia 1 - 2 Inter Miami
Philadelphia 2 - 2 Montreal
Philadelphia 0 - 0 Toronto
Charlotte FC 0 - 0 Philadelphia
New England 0 - 3 Philadelphia
Philadelphia 1 - 2 NY City