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Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
Philadelphia Union

New England
0 - 3
Philadelphia


Porter (15'), Kessler (17'), Vrioni (66'), Arreaga (85')
Spaulding (14')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Carranza (38'), Gazdag (47', 80')
Harriel (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 1-2 NY City
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 1-3 Philadelphia Union

With two sides meeting in the midst of tough runs, something is bound to give on Saturday, and we see the Union being too strong for their struggling hosts, given their quality going forward which has been prevalent even throughout the rut. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawPhiladelphia Union
40.61% (0.159 0.16) 24.52% (-0.194 -0.19) 34.87% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.23% (0.698 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.36% (0.904 0.9)43.64% (-0.905 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.97% (0.879 0.88)66.03% (-0.88000000000001 -0.88)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.46% (0.467 0.47)21.54% (-0.469 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.4% (0.714 0.71)54.6% (-0.714 -0.71)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49% (0.443 0.44)24.51% (-0.444 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03% (0.618 0.62)58.97% (-0.618 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 40.61%
    Philadelphia Union 34.87%
    Draw 24.51%
New England RevolutionDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.1% (-0.208 -0.21)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 40.61%
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.15% (0.088 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 8.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.22% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.88% (0.077 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.034 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.87%

How you voted: New England vs Philadelphia

New England Revolution
33.3%
Draw
11.1%
Philadelphia Union
55.6%
9
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2023 12am
New England
0-1
Philadelphia

Gil (90+4')
Kaye (45')
Donovan (79')
Lowe (33'), Mbaizo (90+4')
Oct 28, 2023 10pm
Philadelphia
3-1
New England
Gazdag (19' pen.), Uhre (26'), Harriel (37')
Andres Martinez (87')
Bou (68')
Wood (29'), Farrell (35'), Chancalay (37'), Vrioni (87')
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
New England
2-1
Philadelphia
Bou (25' pen., 42')
Carranza (16')
Harriel (7'), Lowe (23'), Wagner (24'), Carranza (90+2')
May 21, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
3-0
New England
Gazdag (56', 74' pen.), Carranza (88')
Real (90+3')

Blessing (4'), Wood (45'), Gil (73'), Altidore (84'), Romney (90')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Ukraine Ukraine21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Belgium Belgium10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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