Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 12.30am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Gillette Stadium
  • Ryan Spaulding 14' redcard
  • Ryan Spaulding 14' redcard
  • Caleb Porter 15' yellowcard
  • Caleb Porter 15' yellowcard
  • Frederick Kessler 17' yellowcard
  • Frederick Kessler 17' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Vrioni 66' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Vrioni 66' yellowcard
  • Xavier Arreaga 85' yellowcard
  • Xavier Arreaga 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Harriel 30'
  • yellowcard Nathan Harriel 30'
  • goal Julian Carranza 38'
  • goal Julian Carranza 38'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 47'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 47'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 80'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 80'

New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 12, 2024 12.30am
NY Red Bulls 4 - 2 New England
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Giacomo Vrioni

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 16, 2024 12.30am
Philadelphia 1 - 2 NY City
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Daniel Gazdag

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result

New England Revolution 40.61% (+0.16)
Draw 24.52% (-0.20)
Philadelphia Union 34.87% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.23% (+0.70)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.36% (+0.91)
Under 2.5 43.64% (-0.91)
Over 3.5 33.97% (+0.88)
Under 3.5 66.03% (-0.89)
Over 4.5 17.5% (+0.65)
Under 4.5 82.5% (-0.65)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5 78.46% (+0.47)
Under 0.5 21.54% (-0.47)
Over 1.5 45.4% (+0.72)
Under 1.5 54.6% (-0.72)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 75.49% (+0.45)
Under 0.5 24.51% (-0.45)
Over 1.5 41.03% (+0.62)
Under 1.5 58.97% (-0.62)

Score analysis

New England Revolution 40.61%
Draw 24.51%
Philadelphia Union 34.87%
New England Revolution
2-1 @ 8.75% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.1% (-0.21)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.48% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3.19% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.15% (+0.09)
4-1 @ 1.72% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.22% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.21% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 40.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 6.15% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.22)
3-3 @ 1.48% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.51%
Philadelphia Union
1-2 @ 8.01% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.21)
0-2 @ 5.22% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 3.76% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.88% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32% (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-96.39)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.87%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Nov 12, 2023 8.00pm
Talen Energy Stadium
Major League Soccer
Nov 9, 2023 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Gillette Stadium
  • Mark-Anthony Kaye 45' redcard
  • Mark-Anthony Kaye 45' redcard
  • Carles Gil 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Carles Gil 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Damion Lowe 33'
  • goal Chris Donovan 79'
  • goal Chris Donovan 79'
  • yellowcard Olivier Mbaizo 90'+4'
Major League Soccer
Oct 28, 2023 10.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Subaru Park
  • Daniel Gazdag 19' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 26' goal
  • Nathan Harriel 37' goal
  • Jose Andres Martinez 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bobby Wood 29'
  • yellowcard Andrew Farrell 35'
  • yellowcard Tomas Chancalay 37'
  • goal Gustavo Bou 68'
  • yellowcard Giacomo Vrioni 87'
Major League Soccer
Oct 21, 2023 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Gillette Stadium
  • Gustavo Bou 25' goal
  • Gustavo Bou 42' goal
  • yellowcard Nathan Harriel 7'
  • goal Julian Carranza 16'
  • yellowcard Damion Lowe 23'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 24'
  • yellowcard Julian Carranza 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 12.30am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Talen Energy Stadium
  • Daniel Gazdag 56' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 56' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 74' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 74' goal
  • Julian Carranza 88' goal
  • Julian Carranza 88' goal
Major League Soccer
Jul 17, 2022 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mikael Uhre 75' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 79' goal
  • Alejandro Bedoya 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Gustavo Bou 61'
  • goal Gustavo Bou 61'