Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.