Major League Soccer

May 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Subaru Park

Philadelphia
1 - 2
NY City

Carranza (47', 48')
Wagner (45'), Wagner (45'), Elliott (71'), Elliott (71')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Martinez (2', 2'), Wolf (45+2', 45+2')
Rodriguez (51'), Rodriguez (51'), Ojeda (62'), Ojeda (62'), Perea (78'), Perea (78'), Bakrar (87'), Bakrar (87'), Jones (90'), Jones (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 2-3 Orlando City
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 2-3 NY City
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	New York City FC
51.23% ( -0.08)	24.23% ( 0.02)	24.54% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 53.76% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.07% (

-0.04)

47.94% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.89% (

-0.03)

70.11% (

0.03)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.29% (

-0.04)

18.71% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.93% (

-0.07)

50.08% (

0.07)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.13% (

0.03)

33.87% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.47% (

0.03)

70.54% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 51.23%

New York City FC 24.54%

Draw 24.23%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 51.23%	1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.23%	0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 24.54%