Major League Soccer
Toronto
May 12, 2024 12.30am
2
3
HT : 0 4
FT BMO Field
NY City
  • Federico Bernardeschi 22' yellowcard
  • Federico Bernardeschi 22' yellowcard
  • Sigurd Rosted 36' yellowcard
  • Sigurd Rosted 36' yellowcard
  • Kevin Long 53' yellowcard
  • Kevin Long 53' yellowcard
  • Federico Bernardeschi 55' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 55' goal
  • Raoul Petretta 89' goal
  • Raoul Petretta 89' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 90'+9' redcard
  • Federico Bernardeschi 90'+10' redcard
  • goal Santiago Rodriguez 23'
  • goal Santiago Rodriguez 23'
  • yellowcard Alonso Martinez 29'
  • yellowcard Alonso Martinez 29'
  • goal Malachi Jones 44'
  • goal Malachi Jones 44'
  • yellowcard Malachi Jones 50'
  • yellowcard Malachi Jones 50'
  • goal Andres Perea 78'
  • goal Andres Perea 78'
  • yellowcard Andres Perea 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Andres Perea 90'+9'

Toronto vs New York City FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 5, 2024 12.30am
Toronto 3 - 1 Dallas
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Federico Bernardeschi

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 5, 2024 9.00pm
NY City 0 - 2 Colorado
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Alonso Martinez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result

Toronto 44.81% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 26.05% ▲ (+0.01)
New York City FC 29.14% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.81% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.72% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 52.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 26.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 73.97% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 12.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 87.98% ▲ (+0.02)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 76.75% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 23.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 42.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 57.16% ▼ (-0.01)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 67.5% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 32.5% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 30.97% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 69.03% ▲ (+0.06)

Score analysis

Toronto 44.81%
Draw 26.04%
New York City FC 29.14%
Toronto
1-0 @ 11.02% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.04% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.04% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 44.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 26.04%
New York City FC
0-1 @ 8.49% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.14%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
NY City
Mar 16, 2024 11.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Yankee Stadium
Toronto
  • Santiago Rodriguez 24' goal
  • Birk Risa 42' yellowcard
  • Keaton Parks 63' yellowcard
  • Kevin O'Toole 64' goal
  • Keaton Parks 68' redcard
  • Justin Haak 90'+3' yellowcard
  • James Sands 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty 7'
  • yellowcard Kevin Long 23'
  • yellowcard Federico Bernardeschi 28'
  • yellowcard Shane O'Neill 71'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Insigne 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Kosi Thompson 90'+7'
Major League Soccer
NY City
Sep 24, 2023 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Yankee Stadium
Toronto
  • Andres Perea 2' goal
  • Andres Jasson 45'+4' goal
  • Julian Fernandez 54' goal
  • Julian Fernandez 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shane O'Neill 30'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Apr 30, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
NY City
  • CJ Sapong 46' goal
Major League Soccer
NY City
Apr 24, 2022 10.00pm
5
4
HT : 1 2
FT
Toronto
  • Valentin Castellanos 38' goal
  • Nicolas Acevedo 40' yellowcard
  • Thiago Andrade 49' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 54' goal
  • Keaton Parks 58' goal
  • Gabriel Pereira 75' goal
  • Alfredo Morales 83' yellowcard
  • Alfredo Morales 90' redcard
  • goal Jesus Jimenez 13'
  • goal Jesus Jimenez 27'
  • yellowcard Jesus Jimenez 44'
  • goal Deandre Kerr 87'
  • goal Michael Bradley 90'+1'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Apr 2, 2022 9.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
NY City
  • Jesus Jimenez 31' goal
  • Thiago Martins 43' goal
  • yellowcard Thiago Martins 59'
  • yellowcard Alexander Callens 59'
  • goal Heber 90'+2'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 23
Toronto
Aug 8, 2021 1.00am
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
NY City
  • Yeferson Soteldo 25' yellowcard
  • Richie Laryea 36' yellowcard
  • Richie Laryea 49' goal
  • Alejandro Pozuelo 55' goal
  • Ralph Priso-Mbongue 63' yellowcard
  • goal Santiago Rodriguez 12'
  • goal Ismael Tajouri 21'
  • yellowcard Alfredo Morales 90'+2'

Form Data

Toronto 3 - 1 Dallas
Orlando City 1 - 2 Toronto
Toronto 1 - 0 New England
Charlotte FC 3 - 2 Toronto
Vancouver 4 - 0 Toronto
Toronto 1 - 3 Kansas
NY City 0 - 2 Colorado
NY City 2 - 1 Charlotte FC
NY City 2 - 0 DC United
NY City 2 - 0 New England
NY City 1 - 1 Atlanta
Inter Miami 1 - 1 NY City