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Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
New York City

Toronto
vs.
NY City

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Last Game: Toronto 3-1 Dallas
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

New York City FC

All competitions
Last Game: NY City 0-2 Colorado
Sunday, May 5 at 9pm in Major League Soccer

We say: Toronto 1-1 New York City FC

 The Reds have been fairly tidy defensively at BMO Field, conceding a goal or fewer in all but one of their regular season home fixtures, and we believe they will be able to limit the Pigeons' opportunities this weekend. NYCFC are a different side away from home, though they usually can hang around in those contests, which is why we project they will be able to nab a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toronto win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for New York City FC has a probability of 29.14% and a draw has a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest New York City FC win is 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.38%).

Result
TorontoDrawNew York City FC
44.81% (0.050000000000004 0.05) 26.05% (0.0010000000000012 0) 29.14% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.81% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.72% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)52.27% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.03% (-0.026 -0.03)73.97% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (0.01100000000001 0.01)23.25% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.83% (0.018000000000001 0.02)57.16% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.5% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)32.5% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.97% (-0.061 -0.06)69.03% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 44.81%
    New York City FC 29.14%
    Draw 26.04%
TorontoDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 11.02% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.04% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2%
Total : 44.81%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 8.49% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.14%

Who will win Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and NY City?

Toronto
Draw
New York City FC
Toronto
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
New York City FC
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 11.30pm
NY City
2-1
Toronto
Rodriguez (24'), O'Toole (64')
Risa (42'), Parks (63'), Sands (90+5'), Haak (90+3')
Parks (68')
Marshall-Rutty (7')
Long (23'), Bernardeschi (28'), O'Neill (71'), Insigne (90+7'), Thompson (90+7')
> Preview
Sep 24, 2023 6pm
NY City
3-0
Toronto
Perea (2'), Jasson (45+4'), Fernandez (54')
Fernandez (90+2')

O'Neill (30')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2023 12.30am
Toronto
1-0
NY City
Sapong (46')
> Preview
Apr 24, 2022 10pm
NY City
5-4
Toronto
Castellanos (38'), Andrade (49'), Rodriguez (54'), Parks (58'), Pereira (75')
Acevedo (40'), Morales (83')
Morales (90')
Jimenez (13', 27'), Kerr (87'), Bradley (90+1')
Jimenez (44')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2022 9pm
Toronto
2-1
NY City
Jimenez (31'), Martins (43' og.)
Heber (90+2')
Martins (59'), Callens (59')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97
> Full Version


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