Major League Soccer

May 12, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Subaru Park

Philadelphia
2 - 3
Orlando City

Uhre (12', 12'), Gazdag (66' pen., 66' pen.)
Lowe (81'), Lowe (81')

FT(HT: 2-4)

McGuire (21', 21'), Muriel (42', 42', 46', 47')
Angulo (45+5'), Angulo (45+5'), Araujo (87'), Araujo (87'), Smith (89'), McGuire (90'), Smith (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	Orlando City
51.79% ( -0.02)	23.37% ( 0.01)	24.85% ( 0)

Both teams to score 56.95% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.13% (

-0.05)

43.87% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.74% (

-0.05)

66.26% (

0.05)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.03% (

-0.02)

16.98% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.92% (

-0.04)

47.08% (

0.04)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.59% (

-0.02)

31.41% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.21% (

-0.02)

67.79% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 51.79%

Orlando City 24.85%

Draw 23.37%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	Orlando City
2-1 @ 9.71% 1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 51.79%	1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.37%	1-2 @ 6.34% 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.76% Total : 24.85%