Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 60.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Toronto |
| 60.32% ( | 21.15% ( | 18.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.23% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.19% ( | 41.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.79% ( | 64.2% ( |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.56% ( | 13.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.58% ( | 40.41% ( |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.8% ( | 36.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.02% | 72.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-1 @ 9.96% 2-0 @ 9.8% 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 3-1 @ 6.66% ( 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 4-1 @ 3.34% ( 4-0 @ 3.29% ( 4-2 @ 1.7% 5-1 @ 1.34% ( 5-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.23% Total : 60.33% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( 2-2 @ 5.06% 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.15% | 1-2 @ 5.04% ( 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0-2 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 1.71% 1-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.6% Total : 18.52% |