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Nashville
Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 at 1.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
Toronto FC

Nashville
2 - 0
Toronto

Moore (81', 81'), Bunbury (90+2', 90+1')
Yearwood (36'), Yearwood (36'), Boyd (86'), Boyd (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Etienne (60'), Thompson (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-0 Nashville
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-3 NY City
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 61.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawToronto
61.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)21.33%17.14%
Both teams to score 51.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.14% (0.0020000000000024 0)44.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.78% (0.002999999999993 0)67.22%
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.94% (0.0019999999999953 0)14.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.36% (0.0020000000000024 0)41.64%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.41%39.59% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.72%76.28% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 61.53%
    Toronto 17.14%
    Draw 21.32%
Nashville SCDrawToronto
1-0 @ 10.92%
2-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 9.93%
3-0 @ 7.01%
3-1 @ 6.49%
4-0 @ 3.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 3.01%
4-2 @ 1.48%
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 61.53%
1-1 @ 10.11%
0-0 @ 5.57%
2-2 @ 4.6%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.32%
0-1 @ 5.16%
1-2 @ 4.69%
0-2 @ 2.39%
1-3 @ 1.45%
2-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 17.14%

How you voted: Nashville vs Toronto

Nashville SC
53.8%
Draw
7.7%
Toronto
38.5%
13
Head to Head
Jun 11, 2023 12.30am
Apr 9, 2023 1.30am
Aug 7, 2022 1am
Sep 19, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 33
Toronto
2-1
Nashville
Bradley (39')
Lovitz (32')
Aug 2, 2021 12.30am