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Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Montreal Impact

Toronto
5 - 1
Montreal

Longstaff (6'), Bernardeschi (12', 58', 60'), Osei Owusu (19')
Bernardeschi (90+1')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Sunusi (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 2-0 Toronto
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 1-3 Columbus Crew
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 2-0 CF Montreal

Both teams are struggling at the moment, but the Reds should get plenty of difference-makers back this weekend, which could pay dividends. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawCF Montreal
46.08% (-1.846 -1.85) 24.72% (0.567 0.57) 29.19% (1.276 1.28)
Both teams to score 56.09% (-1.007 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.31% (-1.734 -1.73)46.69% (1.733 1.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.04% (-1.644 -1.64)68.95% (1.644 1.64)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.66% (-1.465 -1.47)20.33% (1.462 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.28% (-2.385 -2.39)52.72% (2.383 2.38)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41% (0.028000000000006 0.03)29.59% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.38% (0.036999999999999 0.04)65.62% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 46.08%
    CF Montreal 29.19%
    Draw 24.73%
TorontoDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 9.58% (0.263 0.26)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-0 @ 7.63% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.321 -0.32)
3-0 @ 4.05% (-0.267 -0.27)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.226 -0.23)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.187 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 46.08%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.33 0.33)
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.427 0.43)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.33% (0.525 0.53)
1-2 @ 7.11% (0.206 0.21)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.324 0.32)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 29.19%

How you voted: Toronto vs Montreal

Toronto
81.8%
Draw
9.1%
CF Montreal
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2023 12.30am
Toronto
2-3
Montreal
Bernardeschi (66', 90+4')
Servania (45+5')
Petretta (77')
Choiniere (18', 79'), Mabika (25' og.)
Campbell (90+3')
May 14, 2023 12.30am
Sep 5, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
3-4
Montreal
Bernardeschi (5' pen.), Insigne (7', 90+3')
Miller (19'), Mihailovic (21'), Kamara (43'), Johnston (54')
Jul 17, 2022 12.30am
Oct 24, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 41
Toronto
1-1
Montreal
Altidore (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Ukraine Ukraine21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Belgium Belgium10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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