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Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
Columbus Crew

Montreal
1 - 3
Columbus Crew

Choiniere (45+2' pen.)
Choiniere (35'), Lassiter (39')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Arfsten (19'), Rossi (59'), Hinestroza (89')
Camacho (41'), Schulte (45+1'), Yeboah (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 2-3 Inter Miami
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 12 at 12.45am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 1-1 Columbus Crew

Something tells us that Montreal will be extra motivated for this match, not just because of their collapse last weekend, but also to give their current manager an ego boost against their former boss. That said, the Crew have tremendous resilience and have fared well in intimidating environments all season, which is why we project they will nab a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawColumbus Crew
35.65% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 23.71% (0.0019999999999989 0) 40.64% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 62.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)39.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.05% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)61.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.22% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.35% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)55.65% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2% (-0.012 -0.01)19.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.14% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)51.85% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 35.65%
    Columbus Crew 40.65%
    Draw 23.7%
CF MontrealDrawColumbus Crew
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 6.62% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 4.98% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 4.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.27%
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 35.65%
1-1 @ 10.71%
2-2 @ 6.53%
0-0 @ 4.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.7%
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 7.13%
0-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 40.65%

How you voted: Montreal vs Columbus Crew

CF Montreal
50.0%
Draw
12.5%
Columbus Crew
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 12.30am
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
Sep 3, 2023 12.30am
Montreal
2-4
Columbus Crew
Opoku (52'), Vilsaint (68')
Jabang (18'), Miljevic (90+4')
Corbo (14' og.), Camilo Hernandez (22', 43', 65')
Yeboah (29'), Amundsen (46'), Schulte (86')
Sep 10, 2022 12.30am
Aug 4, 2022 12.30am
Columbus Crew
1-2
Montreal
Diaz Espinoza (47')
Waterman (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Bills
@
Jets
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami33218473472671
2Columbus Crew33189669383163
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati33175115647956
4Orlando City331571158481052
5New York City FCNY City33148115447750
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC33139114337648
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls33111485347647
8DC United331010135267-1540
9CF MontrealMontreal331010134664-1840
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia33910146153837
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta33910144448-437
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3389163554-1933
14New England RevolutionNew England3394203568-3331
15Chicago Fire3379174059-1930

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy33197768482064
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles33187860421861
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake331511763471656
4Seattle SoundersSeattle33168950341656
5Houston DynamoHouston33149104538751
6Colorado RapidsColorado33155135957250
7Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd33147125448649
8Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver33138125147447
9Portland TimbersPortland331210116455946
10Austin FCAustin33109143646-1039
11Dallas33108155255-338
12St Louis City33813124959-1037
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3387185064-1431
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3363244075-3521


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