Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 54.86%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 1-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.