Major League Soccer

Jul 7, 2024 at 2.30am UK

Rio Tinto Stadium

Salt Lake
5 - 2
Atlanta

Crooks (1', 1'), Ojeda (59', 59'), Arango (68', 68'), Katranis (78', 78'), Luna (84', 84')
Luna (57'), Luna (57')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Lobzhanidze (31', 31'), Rios (80', 80')
Williams (67'), Williams (67'), Fortune (89'), Fortune (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: Salt Lake 3-2 Houston
Thursday, July 4 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: New England 2-1 Atlanta
Thursday, July 4 at 12.45am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 56.54%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 21.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.

Result
Real Salt Lake	Draw	Atlanta United
56.54% ( 0.34)	21.53% ( -0.08)	21.92% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 59.63% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.36% (

0.03)

38.64% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.06% (

0.04)

60.94% (

-0.03)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.44% (

0.12)

13.55% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.35% (

0.23)

40.64% (

-0.23)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.98% (

-0.21)

31.02% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.67% (

-0.25)

67.32% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Real Salt Lake 56.55%

Atlanta United 21.92%

Draw 21.53%

Real Salt Lake	Draw	Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.54% Total : 56.55%	1-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.53%	1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.75% Total : 21.92%