Major League Soccer
Jul 7, 2024 2.30am
5
2
HT : 2 2
FT Rio Tinto Stadium
  • Matt Crooks 1' goal
  • Matt Crooks 1' goal
  • Diego Luna 57' yellowcard
  • Diego Luna 57' yellowcard
  • Braian Ojeda 59' goal
  • Braian Ojeda 59' goal
  • Cristian Arango 68' goal
  • Cristian Arango 68' goal
  • Alexandros Katranis 78' goal
  • Alexandros Katranis 78' goal
  • Diego Luna 84' goal
  • Diego Luna 84' goal
  • goal Saba Lobzhanidze 31'
  • goal Saba Lobzhanidze 31'
  • yellowcard Derrick Williams 67'
  • yellowcard Derrick Williams 67'
  • goal Daniel Rios 80'
  • goal Daniel Rios 80'
  • yellowcard Ajani Fortune 89'
  • yellowcard Ajani Fortune 89'

Real Salt Lake vs Atlanta United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 4, 2024 2.30am
Salt Lake 3 - 2 Houston
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Cristian Arango

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 4, 2024 12.45am
New England 2 - 1 Atlanta
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Saba Lobzhanidze

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 56.54%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 21.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.

Result

Real Salt Lake 56.54% (+0.34)
Draw 21.53% (-0.08)
Atlanta United 21.92% (-0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.63% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.36% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 38.64% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 39.06% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 60.94% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 21.39% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 78.61% (-0.03)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5 86.44% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 13.55% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 59.35% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 40.64% (-0.23)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 68.98% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 31.02% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 32.67% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 67.32% (+0.25)

Score analysis

Real Salt Lake 56.55%
Draw 21.53%
Atlanta United 21.92%
Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.83% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.4% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.4% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 6.55% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.59% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.83% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.27% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 2.79% (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.92% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.31% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.12% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 56.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.84% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.2% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.53%
Atlanta United
1-2 @ 5.76% (-0.06)
0-1 @ 4.92% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.88% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 21.92%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2022 12.30am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Ronaldo Cisneros 7' goal
  • Ronaldo Cisneros 33' goal
  • Marcelino Moreno 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Johan Kappelhof 37'
  • yellowcard Erik Holt 44'
  • yellowcard Nick Besler 56'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 14
May 3, 2020 8.00pm
Major League Soccer Gameweek 16
May 25, 2019 2.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Rio Tinto Stadium (Sandy, Utah)
  • Sebastian Saucedo 36' goal
  • Aaron Herrera 66' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Savarino 94' goal
  • yellowcard Michael Parkhurst 38'
  • goal Josef Martinez 78'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 34
Sep 23, 2018 12.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Georgia)
  • Julian Gressel 37' goal
  • Hector Villalba 61' goal
  • yellowcard Sunny 43'
Major League Soccer
Apr 23, 2017 2.30am
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Kyle Beckerman 21' yellowcard
  • Albert Rusnak 69' goal
  • goal Hector Villalba 9'
  • yellowcard Carlos Carmona 38'
  • goal Yamil Asad 46'
  • yellowcard Gregory Garza 77'
  • yellowcard Miguel Almiron 84'
  • yellowcard Alec Kann 93'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 96'