Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.