Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 47.63% ( | 23.09% ( | 29.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.88% ( | 39.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.55% ( | 61.45% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.27% ( | 16.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.35% ( | 46.65% ( |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.3% ( | 25.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.38% ( | 60.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 1-0 @ 7.69% ( 2-0 @ 6.87% ( 3-1 @ 5.56% ( 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 4-2 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 4.28% Total : 47.63% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 3-3 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0-1 @ 5.84% ( 0-2 @ 3.97% ( 1-3 @ 3.21% ( 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 2-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 29.29% |