Major League Soccer

May 26, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
0 - 1
Los Angeles

Lennon (26'), Lennon (26'), Mosquera (77'), Mosquera (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bogusz (63', 63')
Atuesta (10'), Atuesta (10')
Atuesta (81'), Atuesta (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Nashville 1-1 Atlanta
Saturday, May 18 at 6.45pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 0-2 Los Angeles
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	Los Angeles FC
42.07% ( 0.13)	23.66% ( -0.04)	34.27% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 62.22% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.31% (

0.17)

39.68% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.96% (

0.17)

62.04% (

-0.18)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.8% (

0.13)

19.2% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.12% (

0.21)

50.88% (

-0.21)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77% (

0.03)

23% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.2% (

0.04)

56.8% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 42.07%

Los Angeles FC 34.27%

Draw 23.66%

Atlanta United	Draw	Los Angeles FC
2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.34% Total : 42.07%	1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.66%	1-2 @ 7.87% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 34.27%