Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 49.59% ( | 23.31% ( | 27.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.3% ( | 41.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.9% ( | 64.1% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.02% ( | 16.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.92% ( | 47.08% ( |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% ( | 28.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.7% ( | 64.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 2-0 @ 7.61% ( 3-1 @ 5.65% ( 3-0 @ 4.5% ( 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 4-0 @ 2% ( 4-2 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 4.08% Total : 49.59% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 3-3 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.31% | 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0-2 @ 3.81% ( 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 2-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 3.53% Total : 27.1% |