Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.