Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 1.30am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Soldier Field
  • Rafael Czichos 24' yellowcard
  • Rafael Czichos 24' yellowcard
  • Brian Gutierrez 45' yellowcard
  • Brian Gutierrez 45' yellowcard
  • Carlos Teran 85' goal
  • Carlos Teran 85' goal
  • Federico Navarro 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Federico Navarro 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Diego Rossi 30'
  • goal Diego Rossi 30'
  • goal Christian Ramirez 55'
  • goal Christian Ramirez 55'
  • goal Jacen Russell-Rowe 88'
  • goal Jacen Russell-Rowe 88'

Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 16, 2024 1.30am
Chicago Fire 0 - 1 Charlotte FC
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Hugo Cuypers

Columbus Crew

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 16, 2024 12.30am
Montreal 1 - 3 Columbus Crew
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Juan Camilo Hernandez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 39%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result

Chicago Fire 36.27% (+0.05)
Draw 24.73% (+0.03)
Columbus Crew 39% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.7% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.57% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 44.43% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 33.2% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 66.8% (+0.12)
Over 4.5 16.94% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 83.06% (+0.09)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5 75.9% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 24.1% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 41.61% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 58.39% (+0.04)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5 77.33% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 22.67% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 43.69% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 56.31% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Chicago Fire 36.27%
Draw 24.72%
Columbus Crew 39%
Chicago Fire
2-1 @ 8.21% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.77% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.53% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.62% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 36.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.53% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.46% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.72%
Columbus Crew
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.11% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.02% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.98% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 39%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Mar 10, 2024 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT MAPFRE Stadium
  • Jacen Russell-Rowe 68' goal
  • Jacen Russell-Rowe 68' goal
  • Malte Amundsen 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Malte Amundsen 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Farsi 90'+10' goal
  • Mohamed Farsi 90'+10' goal
  • yellowcard Allan Arigoni 13'
  • yellowcard Allan Arigoni 13'
  • goal Fabian Herbers 72'
  • goal Fabian Herbers 72'
  • yellowcard Tom Barlow 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Tom Barlow 90'+5'
Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
3
0
HT : 6 0
FT MAPFRE Stadium
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 8' goal
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 8' goal
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 16' goal
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 16' goal
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 23' goal
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 23' goal
  • yellowcard Chris Brady 8'
  • yellowcard Chris Brady 8'
  • yellowcard Arnaud Souquet 13'
  • yellowcard Arnaud Souquet 13'
  • yellowcard Rafael Czichos 33'
  • yellowcard Rafael Czichos 33'
  • yellowcard Xherdan Shaqiri 44'
  • yellowcard Xherdan Shaqiri 44'
  • redcard Xherdan Shaqiri 66'
  • redcard Xherdan Shaqiri 67'
  • yellowcard Georgios Koutsias 72'
  • yellowcard Georgios Koutsias 72'
  • yellowcard Kacper Przybylko 74'
  • yellowcard Kacper Przybylko 74'
Major League Soccer
Jun 11, 2023 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Xherdan Shaqiri 88' goal
  • Xherdan Shaqiri 88' goal
  • goal Juan Camilo Hernandez 59'
  • goal Juan Camilo Hernandez 59'
  • goal Lucas Zelarayan 90'+3'
  • goal Lucas Zelarayan 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Sep 3, 2022 10.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luis Diaz Espinoza 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabian Herbers 85'
  • yellowcard Jhon Espinoza 90'+7'
Major League Soccer
Jul 10, 2022 1.00am
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Gaston Gimenez 14' yellowcard
  • Rafael Czichos 29' goal
  • Chris Mueller 41' goal
  • Rafael Czichos 43' yellowcard
  • Miguel Navarro 50' yellowcard
  • Brian Gutierrez 54' yellowcard
  • Jhon Duran 60' yellowcard
  • Miguel Navarro 88' redcard
  • yellowcard Steven Moreira 8'
  • goal Derrick Etienne 63'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Mensah 71'
  • goal Derrick Etienne 75'
  • goal Juan Camilo Hernandez 83'
  • yellowcard Juan Camilo Hernandez 84'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 43
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lucas Zelarayan 31' goal
  • Miguel Berry 58' goal
  • yellowcard Miguel Navarro 59'
  • yellowcard Chinonso Offor 62'
  • yellowcard Jhon Espinoza 88'
  • yellowcard Stanislav Ivanov 89'