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Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Soldier Field
Columbus Crew

Chicago Fire
1 - 3
Columbus Crew

Teran (85')
Czichos (24'), Gutierrez (45'), Navarro (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rossi (30'), Ramirez (55'), Russell-Rowe (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-1 Charlotte FC
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 1-3 Columbus Crew
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 0-2 Columbus Crew

With renewed confidence from a return to winning ways in the week, we anticipate the defending MLS champions being too strong for their struggling hosts in Illinois and taking another three-point haul. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 39%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawColumbus Crew
36.27% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 24.73% (0.026 0.03) 39% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 58.7% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.57% (-0.121 -0.12)44.43% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.2% (-0.115 -0.12)66.8% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.9% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)24.1% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.61% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)58.39% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)22.67% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.69% (-0.131 -0.13)56.31% (0.128 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 36.27%
    Columbus Crew 39%
    Draw 24.72%
Chicago FireDrawColumbus Crew
2-1 @ 8.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.77% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.53% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 36.27%
1-1 @ 11.53% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.46% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.72%
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.11% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.02% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 39%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew

Chicago Fire
12.5%
Draw
0.0%
Columbus Crew
87.5%
8
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 12.30am
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
Columbus Crew
3-0
Chicago Fire
Camilo Hernandez (8' pen., 16' pen., 23')

Brady (8'), Souquet (13'), Czichos (33'), Shaqiri (44'), Koutsias (72'), Przybylko (74')
Shaqiri (66')
Jun 11, 2023 1.30am
Chicago Fire
1-2
Columbus Crew
Shaqiri (88')
Navarro (45+5'), Herbers (89')
Camilo Hernandez (59'), Zelarayan (90+3')
Amundsen (20'), Zawadzki (29'), Farsi (81'), Zelarayan (90+5')
Sep 3, 2022 10.30pm
Columbus Crew
0-0
Chicago Fire
Diaz Espinoza (74')
Herbers (85'), Espinoza (90+7')
Jul 10, 2022 1am
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Wednesday, June 26
 
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Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
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Sunday, June 30
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Netherlands Netherlands21104
Q France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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