/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F01%2Fmonlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F01%2Fdculog.png)
-
Samuel Piette
5'
-
Samuel Piette
5'
-
Ariel Lassiter
6'
-
Ariel Lassiter
6'
-
Ruan
32'
-
Ruan
32'
-
Ibrahim Sunusi
34'
-
Ibrahim Sunusi
34'
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Mathieu Choiniere
38'
-
Mathieu Choiniere
38'
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Mathieu Choiniere
58'
-
Mathieu Choiniere
58'
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Ibrahim Sunusi
73'
-
Ibrahim Sunusi
73'
-
Jackson Hopkins
2'
-
Jackson Hopkins
2'
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Christian Benteke
29'
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Christian Benteke
29'
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Matti Peltola
37'
-
Matti Peltola
37'
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Christian Benteke
42'
-
Christian Benteke
42'
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Matti Peltola
45'+5'
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Matti Peltola
45'+5'
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Cristian Dajome
63'
-
Cristian Dajome
63'
CF Montreal vs DC United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F16%2FRuan.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for DC United had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
Result
CF Montreal
43.3%
▲
(+0.31)
Draw
25.14%
▲
(+0.02)
DC United
31.56%
▼
(-0.32)
Both Teams to Score:
55.97%
▼
(-0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.58%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 2.5
47.42%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 3.5
30.37%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 3.5
69.63%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 4.5
14.92%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 4.5
85.08%
▲
(+0.11)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5
78.11%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
21.88%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
44.86%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 1.5
55.13%
▼
(-0.12)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5
71.66%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 0.5
28.34%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 1.5
35.92%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 1.5
64.08%
▲
(+0.37)
Score analysis
CF Montreal
43.3%
Draw
25.14%
DC United
31.56%
CF Montreal
1-0
@
9.42%
▲
(+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.03% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.16% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 43.3%
2-1 @ 9.03% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.16% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 43.3%
Draw
1-1
@
11.88%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.14%
0-0 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.14%
DC United
0-1
@
7.82%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.49% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 31.56%
1-2 @ 7.49% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 31.56%