Major League Soccer

May 30, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Stade Saputo

Montreal
4 - 2
DC United

Lassiter (6', 6'), Sunusi (34', 34', 73', 73'), Choiniere (38', 38')
Piette (5'), Piette (5'), Ruan (32'), Ruan (32'), Choiniere (58'), Choiniere (58')

FT(HT: 6-4)

Benteke (29', 29', 42', 42')
Hopkins (2'), Hopkins (2'), Peltola (37'), Peltola (37'), Dajome (63'), Dajome (63')
Peltola (45+5'), Peltola (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 0-0 Nashville
Sunday, May 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

DC United

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 1-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for DC United had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	DC United
43.3% ( 0.31)	25.14% ( 0.01)	31.56% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 55.97% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.58% (

-0.16)

47.42% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.37% (

-0.15)

69.63% (

0.15)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.11% (

0.07)

21.88% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.86% (

0.11)

55.13% (

-0.11)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.66% (

-0.28)

28.34% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.92% (

-0.36)

64.08% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 43.3%

DC United 31.56%

Draw 25.14%

CF Montreal	Draw	DC United
1-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.4% Total : 43.3%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.14%	0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 31.56%