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DC United
Major League Soccer
Jun 2, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Audi Field
Toronto FC

DC United
2 - 2
Toronto

Ku-Dipietro (79', 79'), Klich (90+5' pen., 90+5' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-4)
Etienne (2', 2'), Bernardeschi (33', 33')
Bernardeschi (52'), Bernardeschi (52'), Gomis (80'), Gomis (80'), Flores (82'), Flores (82'), Marshall-Rutty (90+4'), Osorio (90+4'), Longstaff (90+8'), Petretta (90+12'), Marshall-Rutty (90+4'), Osorio (90+4'), Longstaff (90+8'), Petretta (90+12')
Bernardeschi (87'), Bernardeschi (87'), Gomis (90+4'), Gomis (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 4-2 DC United
Thursday, May 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Toronto
Thursday, May 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 54.07%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 23% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
DC UnitedDrawToronto
54.07% (-1.639 -1.64)22.93% (0.387 0.39)23% (1.253 1.25)
Both teams to score 56.25% (0.392 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.21% (-0.276 -0.28)43.79% (0.276 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.82% (-0.27 -0.27)66.18% (0.27000000000001 0.27)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.87% (-0.65600000000001 -0.66)16.13% (0.656 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.44% (-1.21 -1.21)45.56% (1.21 1.21)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.07% (0.985 0.98)32.93% (-0.985 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.49% (1.081 1.08)69.51% (-1.08 -1.08)
Score Analysis
    DC United 54.07%
    Toronto 23%
    Draw 22.92%
DC UnitedDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-0 @ 9.69% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.84% (-0.296 -0.3)
3-1 @ 5.97% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-0 @ 5.38% (-0.307 -0.31)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.72% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.45% (-0.199 -0.2)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 54.07%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.112 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.31% (0.064 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.92%
1-2 @ 5.98% (0.254 0.25)
0-1 @ 5.9% (0.226 0.23)
0-2 @ 3.28% (0.209 0.21)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.15 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.094 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 23%

How you voted: DC United vs Toronto

DC United
28.6%
Draw
21.4%
Toronto
50.0%
14
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 12.30am
Toronto
2-1
DC United
Kerr (14'), Thompson (72')
Kaye (45+2'), Marshall-Rutty (90+5')
Benteke (87')
Santos (69')
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
DC United
3-2
Toronto
Klich (13'), Benteke (90'), Ku-Dipietro (90+8')
Bernardeschi (66' pen.), Kaye (83')
May 21, 2022 11.30pm
DC United
2-2
Toronto
Flores (8'), Estrada (56')
Hines-Ike (16'), Alfaro (23'), Smith (84'), Durkin (90+2')
Akinola (36'), Osorio (89')
Salcedo (10'), Jimenez (45+1'), Osorio (80'), Achara (85')
Mar 19, 2022 7pm
Toronto
2-1
DC United
Pozuelo (24'), Osorio (53')
Pozuelo (47'), Osorio (55'), O'Neill (77'), MacNaughton (82')
Canouse (10')
Flores (49'), Najar (72'), Yow (83')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 44
Toronto
1-3
DC United
Laryea (18')
Dwyer (74')
Birnbaum (13'), Kamara (30' pen., 36')
Felipe (65'), Pines (76'), Mora (85'), Birnbaum (90')
rhs 2.0


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