Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 54.07%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 23% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Toronto |
| 54.07% ( | 22.93% ( | 23% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.21% ( | 43.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.82% ( | 66.18% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.87% ( | 16.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.44% ( | 45.56% ( |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.07% ( | 32.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.49% ( | 69.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 2-0 @ 8.84% ( 3-1 @ 5.97% ( 3-0 @ 5.38% ( 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 4-1 @ 2.72% ( 4-0 @ 2.45% ( 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 5-1 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 3.37% Total : 54.07% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 3-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0-2 @ 3.28% ( 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 23% |