Major League Soccer

Jun 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
2 - 2
Houston

Rios (25', 25'), Silva (55', 55')
Silva (8'), Silva (8')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Escobar (5', 5'), Blessing (89', 89')
Escobar (42'), Escobar (42'), Carrasquilla (44'), Carrasquilla (44'), Ibrahim (53'), Ibrahim (53'), Micael (58'), Micael (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 2-3 Charlotte FC
Sunday, June 2 at 9.45pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 2-2 Houston
Sunday, June 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	Houston Dynamo
50.82% ( -0.09)	22.97% ( 0.04)	26.2% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 59.7% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.13% (

-0.16)

40.86% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.75% (

-0.17)

63.25% (

0.17)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.78% (

-0.09)

16.22% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.28% (

-0.17)

45.72% (

0.17)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.25% (

-0.05)

28.74% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.42% (

-0.07)

64.58% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 50.82%

Houston Dynamo 26.2%

Draw 22.97%

Atlanta United	Draw	Houston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 50.82%	1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.97%	1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.44% Total : 26.2%