Major League Soccer

Jul 4, 2024 at 12.45am UK

Gillette Stadium

New England
2 - 1
Atlanta

Vrioni (12', 12', 45', 45')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Rios (90', 90')
Rode Gregersen (37'), Rode Gregersen (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: New England 1-5 Columbus Crew
Sunday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Toronto
Sunday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New England Revolution in this match.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	Atlanta United
39.07% ( 0.49)	24.44% ( 0.36)	36.48% ( -0.85)

Both teams to score 59.76% (

-1.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.94% (

-1.81)

43.06% (

1.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.54% (

-1.81)

65.46% (

1.82)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.97% (

-0.55)

22.03% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.64% (

-0.84)

55.36% (

0.85)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.64% (

-1.26)

23.36% (

1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.67% (

-1.87)

57.33% (

1.87)

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 39.08%

Atlanta United 36.48%

Draw 24.44%

New England Revolution	Draw	Atlanta United
2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 39.08%	1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.4) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.44%	1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.18% Total : 36.48%