Major League Soccer

Jun 23, 2024 at 1.30am UK

CityPark

St Louis City
1 - 1
Atlanta

Vassilev (50', 50')
Reid (58'), Reid (58'), Vassilev (85'), Vassilev (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rios (71', 71')
Rode Gregersen (46'), Rode Gregersen (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 0-3 Colorado
Thursday, June 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 0-1 Atlanta
Thursday, June 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 37.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
St Louis City	Draw	Atlanta United
37.67% ( -3.64)	24.82% ( 0.66)	37.5% ( 2.98)

Both teams to score 58.42% (

-2.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.18% (

-2.79)

44.82% (

2.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.83% (

-2.74)

67.18% (

2.75)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.48% (

-3.01)

23.53% (

3.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.43% (

-4.56)

57.57% (

4.56)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.39% (

0.34)

23.61% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.3% (

0.49)

57.7% (

-0.49)

Score Analysis

St Louis City 37.67%

Atlanta United 37.51%

Draw 24.82%

St Louis City	Draw	Atlanta United
2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.42) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.6) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.4) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.45) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.38) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.26) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.27) Other @ 2.11% Total : 37.67%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.64) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.82%	1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0.42) 0-1 @ 8.02% ( 1) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.77) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.39) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.09% Total : 37.51%