Major League Soccer
Jun 23, 2024 1.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT CityPark
  • 43' goal
  • Indiana Vassilev 50' goal
  • Indiana Vassilev 50' goal
  • Jayden Reid 58' yellowcard
  • Jayden Reid 58' yellowcard
  • Indiana Vassilev 85' yellowcard
  • Indiana Vassilev 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stian Rode Gregersen 46'
  • yellowcard Stian Rode Gregersen 46'
  • goal Daniel Rios 71'
  • goal Daniel Rios 71'

St Louis City vs Atlanta United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 20, 2024 1.30am
St Louis City 0 - 3 Colorado
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Eduard Lowen

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 20, 2024 12.30am
DC United 0 - 1 Atlanta
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Saba Lobzhanidze

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 37.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

St Louis City 37.67% (-3.65)
Draw 24.82% (+0.67)
Atlanta United 37.5% (+2.99)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.42% (-2.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.18% (-2.79)
Under 2.5 44.82% (+2.80)
Over 3.5 32.83% (-2.75)
Under 3.5 67.18% (+2.75)
Over 4.5 16.67% (-2.03)
Under 4.5 83.33% (+2.03)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5 76.48% (-3.01)
Under 0.5 23.53% (+3.02)
Over 1.5 42.43% (-4.56)
Under 1.5 57.57% (+4.56)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 76.39% (+0.35)
Under 0.5 23.61% (-0.34)
Over 1.5 42.3% (+0.49)
Under 1.5 57.7% (-0.49)

Score analysis

St Louis City 37.67%
Draw 24.82%
Atlanta United 37.51%
St Louis City
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.42)
1-0 @ 8.04% (+0.26)
2-0 @ 5.82% (-0.35)
3-1 @ 4.05% (-0.61)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.41)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.45)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.38)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.26)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.28)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 37.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6% (+0.49)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.24)
0-0 @ 5.56% (+0.65)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.18)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.82%
Atlanta United
1-2 @ 8.37% (+0.43)
0-1 @ 8.02% (+1.00)
0-2 @ 5.79% (+0.77)
1-3 @ 4.03% (+0.25)
2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.78% (+0.40)
1-4 @ 1.45% (+0.11)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-84.40)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 37.51%