Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.