Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New England Revolution in this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 42.43% ( | 25.5% ( | 32.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.2% ( | 48.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.1% ( | 70.9% ( |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( | 22.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.37% ( | 56.63% ( |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.3% ( | 28.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.48% ( | 64.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% ( 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 2-0 @ 7.14% ( 3-1 @ 4.38% ( 3-0 @ 3.51% ( 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 4-2 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.15% Total : 42.43% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0-2 @ 5.12% ( 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 1-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 32.07% |