Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 55.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New York Red Bulls in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for New York Red Bulls.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Orlando City |
| 55.34% ( | 23.33% ( | 21.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.56% ( | 47.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.34% ( | 69.66% ( |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.01% ( | 16.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.89% ( | 47.11% ( |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.46% ( | 36.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.68% ( | 73.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Orlando City |
| 1-0 @ 11% ( 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 2-0 @ 9.75% ( 3-1 @ 5.8% ( 3-0 @ 5.76% ( 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 4-0 @ 2.55% ( 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 5-0 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 55.34% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.33% | 0-1 @ 6.25% ( 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0-2 @ 3.15% ( 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 1.77% Total : 21.33% |