Major League Soccer
Jun 2, 2024 12.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT MSU Soccer Park at Pittser Field
  • John Tolkin 38' goal
  • John Tolkin 38' goal
  • Daniel Edelman 61' yellowcard
  • Daniel Edelman 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ivan Angulo 86'
  • yellowcard Ivan Angulo 86'

New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 30, 2024 12.30am
NY Red Bulls 3 - 1 Charlotte FC
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Lewis Morgan

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 30, 2024 1.30am
Chicago Fire 1 - 1 Orlando City
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Facundo Torres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 55.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 21.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New York Red Bulls in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for New York Red Bulls.

Result

New York Red Bulls 55.34% (-0.04)
Draw 23.33% (-0.32)
Orlando City 21.33% (+0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.68% (+1.48)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.56% (+1.72)
Under 2.5 47.44% (-1.71)
Over 3.5 30.34% (+1.58)
Under 3.5 69.66% (-1.57)
Over 4.5 14.91% (+1.08)
Under 4.5 85.09% (-1.08)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 83.01% (+0.62)
Under 0.5 16.99% (-0.61)
Over 1.5 52.89% (+1.08)
Under 1.5 47.11% (-1.07)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5 63.46% (+1.33)
Under 0.5 36.54% (-1.32)
Over 1.5 26.68% (+1.31)
Under 1.5 73.33% (-1.30)

Score analysis

New York Red Bulls 55.34%
Draw 23.33%
Orlando City 21.33%
New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 11% (-0.58)
2-1 @ 9.82% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 9.75% (-0.30)
3-1 @ 5.8% (+0.15)
3-0 @ 5.76% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.92% (+0.18)
4-1 @ 2.57% (+0.12)
4-0 @ 2.55% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.29% (+0.11)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 55.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.17)
0-0 @ 6.21% (-0.46)
2-2 @ 4.94% (+0.20)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 23.33%
Orlando City
0-1 @ 6.25% (-0.23)
1-2 @ 5.58% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 3.15% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.87% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.66% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 1.06% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 21.33%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Mar 30, 2024 11.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Exploria Stadium
  • Ivan Angulo 75' yellowcard
  • Noah Eile 89' goal
  • goal Lewis Morgan 21'
  • yellowcard Peter Stroud 44'
  • yellowcard Andres Reyes 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Kyle Duncan 73'
Major League Soccer
Jun 4, 2023 12.30am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison
  • goal Ivan Angulo 18'
  • goal Ivan Angulo 18'
  • goal Facundo Torres 52'
  • goal Facundo Torres 72'
Major League Soccer
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Orlando City Stadium
  • Facundo Torres 56' goal
Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2022 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • John Tolkin 12' yellowcard
  • Cristian Casseres Jr 32' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joao Moutinho 16'
  • goal Facundo Torres 17'
Major League Soccer
Apr 24, 2022 8.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Junior Urso 45'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Luquinhas 26'
  • yellowcard Ashley Fletcher 33'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 41'
  • yellowcard Luquinhas 42'
  • yellowcard Lewis Morgan 42'
  • goal Cristian Casseres Jr 48'
  • yellowcard Carlos Coronel 83'
  • goal Lewis Morgan 88'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 13
Jul 4, 2021 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Junior Urso 2' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Pereyra 41' yellowcard
  • Christopher Mueller 59' goal
  • goal Cristian Casseres Jr 6'
  • yellowcard Kyle Duncan 22'
  • yellowcard Fabio Gomes 34'
  • yellowcard Dru Yearwood 57'
  • goal 79'
  • yellowcard Tom Barlow 90'+6'