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New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
Jun 2, 2024 at 12.30am UK
MSU Soccer Park at Pittser Field
Orlando City

NY Red Bulls
1 - 0
Orlando City

Tolkin (38', 38')
Edelman (61'), Edelman (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Angulo (86'), Angulo (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 3-1 Charlotte FC
Thursday, May 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 Orlando City
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 55.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 21.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New York Red Bulls in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for New York Red Bulls.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawOrlando City
55.34% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)23.33% (-0.311 -0.31)21.33% (0.35 0.35)
Both teams to score 52.68% (1.479 1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.56% (1.716 1.72)47.44% (-1.709 -1.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.34% (1.571 1.57)69.66% (-1.563 -1.56)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.01% (0.61699999999999 0.62)16.99% (-0.608 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.89% (1.073 1.07)47.11% (-1.066 -1.07)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.46% (1.323 1.32)36.54% (-1.315 -1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.68% (1.307 1.31)73.33% (-1.299 -1.3)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 55.34%
    Orlando City 21.33%
    Draw 23.33%
New York Red BullsDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 11% (-0.57 -0.57)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.75% (-0.298 -0.3)
3-1 @ 5.8% (0.146 0.15)
3-0 @ 5.76% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.173 0.17)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.114 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.55% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.101 0.1)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.058 0.06)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 55.34%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 6.21% (-0.454 -0.45)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.199 0.2)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.33%
0-1 @ 6.25% (-0.222 -0.22)
1-2 @ 5.58% (0.117 0.12)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.123 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 21.33%

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs Orlando City

New York Red Bulls
70.6%
Draw
17.6%
Orlando City
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 11.30pm
Orlando City
1-1
NY Red Bulls
Eile (89' og.)
Angulo (75')
Morgan (21' pen.)
Stroud (44'), Reyes (45+5'), Duncan (73')
Jun 4, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
0-3
Orlando City

Yearwood (30'), Reyes (45+3'), Nealis (50')
Reyes (47')
Angulo (18'), Torres (52' pen., 72')
Jansson (45+6'), Santos (90')
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
Aug 13, 2022 11pm
Apr 24, 2022 8.30pm
Orlando City
0-3
NY Red Bulls

Urso (45+3')
Luquinhas (26'), Casseres Jr (48'), Morgan (88' pen.)
Fletcher (33'), Nealis (41'), Luquinhas (42'), Morgan (42'), Coronel (83')