Major League Soccer
May 30, 2024 12.30am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Elias Manoel 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Elias Manoel 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Emil Forsberg 74' goal
  • Emil Forsberg 74' goal
  • Emil Forsberg 76' goal
  • Emil Forsberg 76' goal
  • Andres Reyes 83' goal
  • Andres Reyes 83' goal
  • yellowcard Andrew Privett 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Andrew Privett 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Kerwin Vargas 73'
  • yellowcard Kerwin Vargas 73'
  • yellowcard Patrick Agyemang 80'
  • yellowcard Patrick Agyemang 80'
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 85'
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 86'
  • goal Ben Bender 90'+6'
  • goal Ben Bender 90'+6'

New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 19, 2024 12.30am
NY City 2 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Lewis Morgan

Charlotte FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 26, 2024 12.30am
Charlotte FC 0 - 0 Philadelphia
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Patrick Agyemang

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 58.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 18.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for New York Red Bulls in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for New York Red Bulls.

Result

New York Red Bulls 58.25% (-0.05)
Draw 23.48% (+0.03)
Charlotte FC 18.27% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.43% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.03% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 51.97% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 26.29% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 73.71% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 12.18% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 87.82% (+0.04)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 82.41% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 17.59% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 51.84% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 48.16% (+0.08)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5 57.55% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 42.45% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 21.18% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 78.82% (+0.02)

Score analysis

New York Red Bulls 58.24%
Draw 23.47%
Charlotte FC 18.27%
New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 12.97% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 11.27%
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.53% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.6% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.84% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.43% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 58.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.11% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.47% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 23.47%
Charlotte FC
0-1 @ 6.4% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.76% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.74% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.36%
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 18.27%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Oct 26, 2023 12.30am
5
2
HT : 6 0
FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison
  • Elias Manoel 10' goal
  • Elias Manoel 10' goal
  • John Tolkin 26' goal
  • John Tolkin 26' goal
  • Elias Manoel 37' goal
  • Elias Manoel 37' goal
  • Tom Barlow 56' goal
  • Tom Barlow 56' goal
  • Elias Manoel 78' goal
  • Elias Manoel 78' goal
  • yellowcard Adilson Malanda 25'
  • yellowcard Adilson Malanda 25'
  • yellowcard Enzo Copetti 33'
  • yellowcard Enzo Copetti 33'
  • goal Kerwin Vargas 49'
  • goal Kerwin Vargas 49'
  • goal Patrick Agyemang 64'
  • goal Patrick Agyemang 64'
Major League Soccer
Jun 22, 2023 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 4
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Dante Vanzeir 53' goal
  • Dante Vanzeir 53' goal
  • Cameron Harper 58' goal
  • Cameron Harper 58' goal
  • goal Ben Bender 13'
  • goal Ben Bender 13'
  • goal Ben Bender 19'
  • goal Ben Bender 19'
Major League Soccer
Mar 25, 2023 11.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Bank of America Stadium
  • Andres Reyes 74' goal
  • goal Elias Manoel 43'
Major League Soccer
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Elias Manoel 8' goal
  • Elias Manoel 55' goal
Major League Soccer
Jun 11, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Harrison Afful 22' yellowcard
  • Christian Ortiz 34' yellowcard
  • Ben Bender 45'+4' goal
  • Derrick Jones 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Patryk Klimala 44'
  • yellowcard Dru Yearwood 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Caden Clark 79'