Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Orlando City |
| 41.79% ( | 24.77% ( | 33.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.86% ( | 45.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.52% ( | 67.48% ( |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.38% ( | 21.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.27% ( | 54.72% ( |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.94% ( | 26.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.9% ( | 61.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Orlando City |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 1-0 @ 8.63% ( 2-0 @ 6.61% ( 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 3-0 @ 3.37% ( 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 4-2 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 41.79% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 3-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.77% | 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 1-3 @ 3.5% ( 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 2-4 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.43% |