Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 38%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 38% ( | 25.67% ( | 36.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.26% ( | 48.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.16% ( | 70.84% ( |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.87% ( | 25.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.16% ( | 59.83% ( |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.94% ( | 26.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.89% ( | 61.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 1-0 @ 9.04% ( 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 2-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.64% Total : 38% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.55% ( 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 3-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 8.81% 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-2 @ 5.92% 1-3 @ 3.67% 0-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 1-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.34% Total : 36.33% |