Major League Soccer

Jun 30, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
2 - 1
Toronto

Almada (45+2', 45+2'), Thiare (90+8', 90+8')
Fortune (48'), Fortune (48'), Rode Gregersen (72'), Rode Gregersen (72')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Insigne (25'), Bernardeschi (46', 46')
Long (52'), Long (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, June 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 3-0 Toronto
Sunday, June 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 62.41%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	Toronto
62.41% ( 0)	20.04%	17.55% ( -0)

Both teams to score 57.21% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.71% (

-0.01)

38.28% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.43% (

-0.01)

60.56% (

0.01)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.24% (

-0)

11.75% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.07% (

-0.01)

36.92% (

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.83% (

-0.01)

35.17% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.08% (

-0.01)

71.92% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 62.41%

Toronto 17.55%

Draw 20.04%

Atlanta United	Draw	Toronto
2-1 @ 9.9% 2-0 @ 9.47% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.76% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.78% 3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.62% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.55% Other @ 4.12% Total : 62.41%	1-1 @ 9.25% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.04%	1-2 @ 4.83% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.32% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.65% Total : 17.55%