Major League Soccer

Jun 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
1 - 4
Chicago Fire

Insigne (44', 44')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Haile-Selassie (41', 41'), Cuypers (57', 57'), Pineda (60', 60'), Arigoni (89', 89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 2-2 Toronto
Sunday, June 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, June 2 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 51.03%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 25.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Chicago Fire
51.03% ( 0.8)	23.09% ( -0.01)	25.88% ( -0.79)

Both teams to score 58.97% (

-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.32% (

-0.61)

41.68% (

0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.92% (

-0.62)

64.08% (

0.63)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.56% (

0.07)

16.44% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.88% (

0.11)

46.12% (

-0.11)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.57% (

-0.91)

29.43% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.58% (

-1.13)

65.42% (

1.13)

Score Analysis

Toronto 51.03%

Chicago Fire 25.88%

Draw 23.08%

Toronto	Draw	Chicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.36% Total : 51.03%	1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.08%	1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.26% Total : 25.88%