Major League Soccer

Jun 2, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Soldier Field

Chicago Fire
2 - 1
LA Galaxy

Cuypers (33', 33'), Gutierrez (61', 61')
Pineda (29'), Pineda (29'), Herbers (75'), Herbers (75'), Arigoni (90+5'), Arigoni (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Puig (7' pen., 7' pen.)
Cerrillo (45+4'), Cerrillo (45+4'), Cuevas (78'), Cuevas (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 Orlando City
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 3-1 Dallas
Thursday, May 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chicago Fire in this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
38.47% ( 0.12)	24.6% ( -0.01)	36.94% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 59.21% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.22% (

0.04)

43.78% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.83% (

0.04)

66.17% (

-0.04)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.35% (

0.08)

22.65% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.71% (

0.12)

56.29% (

-0.11)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.56% (

-0.04)

23.45% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.55% (

-0.06)

57.45% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 38.47%

Los Angeles Galaxy 36.94%

Draw 24.59%

Chicago Fire	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.47%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.59%	1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 36.94%