Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 38.83% ( | 24.29% | 36.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.7% | 42.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.3% ( | 64.7% ( |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.18% ( | 21.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.97% | 55.03% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.2% ( | 22.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.49% ( | 56.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 1-0 @ 7.57% 2-0 @ 5.77% ( 3-1 @ 4.33% 3-2 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.54% Total : 38.83% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 2-2 @ 6.3% 0-0 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 8.28% 0-1 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 5.44% ( 1-3 @ 4.08% 2-3 @ 3.11% 0-3 @ 2.68% 1-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.31% Total : 36.88% |