Major League Soccer

Jun 15, 2024 at 1.40am UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
2 - 3
Columbus Crew

Ojeda (44', 44'), Rodriguez (86', 86')
Tanasijevic (33'), Tanasijevic (33'), Parks (90+15'), Moralez (90+9'), Rodriguez (90+15'), Parks (90+10'), Moralez (90+9'), Rodriguez (90+15')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ramirez (51', 51'), Farsi (53', 53'), Camilo Hernandez (63' pen., 63' pen.)
Cheberko (58'), Cheberko (58'), Rossi (90+1'), Rossi (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 5-1 Earthquakes
Saturday, June 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Pachuca 3-0 Columbus Crew
Sunday, June 2 at 2.15am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 52.77%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 24.27% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Columbus Crew
52.77% ( 0.31)	22.95% ( 0.15)	24.27% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 57.72% (

-1.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.45% (

-1.15)

42.55% (

1.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.05% (

-1.16)

64.95% (

1.15)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.86% (

-0.3)

16.14% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.42% (

-0.56)

45.58% (

0.55)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.84% (

-1)

31.16% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.5% (

-1.18)

67.5% (

1.18)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 52.77%

Columbus Crew 24.27%

Draw 22.94%

New York City FC	Draw	Columbus Crew
2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.42% Total : 52.77%	1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.94%	1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.79% Total : 24.27%