Major League Soccer

Jun 20, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Children's Mercy Park

Kansas
3 - 4
Salt Lake

Afrifa (28', 28'), Agade (70', 70', 90+5', 90+5')
Bassong (90+2'), Bassong (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-4)

Gomez (14', 14', 51', 51'), Julio (33', 33'), Crooks (84', 84')
Vera (77'), Vera (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-2 Kansas
Sunday, June 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 0-0 Salt Lake
Sunday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Real Salt Lake
46.95% ( 0.7)	23% ( -0.18)	30.05% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 62.71% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.78% (

0.56)

38.22% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.5% (

0.59)

60.5% (

-0.59)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.35% (

0.48)

16.64% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.51% (

0.86)

46.48% (

-0.86)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.23% (

-0.05)

24.76% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.67% (

-0.07)

59.33% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 46.95%

Real Salt Lake 30.05%

Draw 22.99%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.06) Other @ 4.36% Total : 46.95%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.99%	1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.64% Total : 30.05%