Real Salt Lake vs Houston Dynamo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 55.15%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.