Major League Soccer

Jul 4, 2024 at 2.30am UK

Rio Tinto Stadium

Salt Lake
3 - 2
Houston

Gomez (22', 22'), Luna (42', 42'), Ojeda (67', 67')
Ojeda (77'), Ojeda (77'), Eneli (90+2'), Eneli (90+2')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Ibrahim (8', 8'), Brody (55' og., 55' og.)
Blessing (5'), Blessing (5'), Escobar (90+2'), Escobar (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: Salt Lake 0-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, June 23 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 1-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, June 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 55.15%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.

Result
Real Salt Lake	Draw	Houston Dynamo
55.15% ( 0.01)	22.25% ( -0)	22.6% ( -0)

Both teams to score 58.05% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.84% (

0.01)

41.16% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.45% (

0.01)

63.55% (

-0.01)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.15% (

0.01)

14.84% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.84% (

0.01)

43.16% (

-0.01)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.17% (

31.83% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.73%

68.26%

Score Analysis

Real Salt Lake 55.15%

Houston Dynamo 22.6%

Draw 22.24%

Real Salt Lake	Draw	Houston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.84% 1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.6% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.26% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.47% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.14% 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.97% Total : 55.15%	1-1 @ 10.31% 2-2 @ 5.63% 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.24%	1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.41% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.6% Total : 22.6%