Major League Soccer

Jun 23, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Audi Field

DC United
1 - 4
Houston

Benteke (38' pen., 38' pen.)
Murrell (25'), Murrell (25'), Akinmboni (50'), Akinmboni (50'), Benteke (66'), Benteke (66'), Dajome (73'), Dajome (73'), Bartlett (79'), Bartlett (79')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ferreira (51' pen., 51' pen., 54', 54', 86', 86'), Segal (90+5', 90+5')
Steres (90+9'), Steres (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 0-1 Atlanta
Thursday, June 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 2-2 Seattle
Thursday, June 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
DC United	Draw	Houston Dynamo
45.85% ( 1.96)	23.5% ( 0.02)	30.65% ( -1.97)

Both teams to score 61.27% (

-1.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.72% (

-0.94)

40.27% (

0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.35% (

-0.98)

62.64% (

0.98)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.13% (

0.42)

17.86% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.36% (

0.71)

48.63% (

-0.71)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.6% (

-1.64)

25.4% (

1.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.79% (

-2.31)

60.2% (

2.31)

Score Analysis

DC United 45.85%

Houston Dynamo 30.65%

Draw 23.5%

DC United	Draw	Houston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 45.85%	1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.5%	1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.16) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.65%