Major League Soccer
Jul 8, 2024 3.30am
4
1
HT : 8 0
FT Providence Park
  • Felipe Mora 18' goal
  • Felipe Mora 18' goal
  • Jonathan Rodriguez 22' goal
  • Jonathan Rodriguez 22' goal
  • Jonathan Rodriguez 24' goal
  • Jonathan Rodriguez 24' goal
  • Eryk Williamson 29' goal
  • Eryk Williamson 29' goal
  • redcard Brian Anunga 35'
  • redcard Brian Anunga 35'
  • goal Sam Surridge 82'
  • goal Sam Surridge 82'
  • yellowcard Brent Kallman 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Brent Kallman 90'+3'

Portland Timbers vs Nashville SC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 5, 2024 1.30am
Dallas 3 - 2 Portland
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Jonathan Rodriguez

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 4, 2024 1.45am
Columbus Crew 2 - 0 Nashville
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Sam Surridge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 51.6%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 24.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result

Portland Timbers 51.6% (-0.06)
Draw 23.74% (-0.06)
Nashville SC 24.66% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.51% (+0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.32% (+0.35)
Under 2.5 45.68% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 32% (+0.33)
Under 3.5 68% (-0.33)
Over 4.5 16.07% (+0.24)
Under 4.5 83.93% (-0.24)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5 82.28% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 17.72% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 51.62% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 48.38% (-0.19)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5 67.46% (+0.28)
Under 0.5 32.54% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 30.93% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 69.07% (-0.31)

Score analysis

Portland Timbers 51.6%
Draw 23.74%
Nashville SC 24.66%
Portland Timbers
1-0 @ 9.98% (-0.11)
2-1 @ 9.69% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.63% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 5.59% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.98% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.14% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.42% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 51.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.77% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.44% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.18% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.74%
Nashville SC
0-1 @ 6.47% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.29% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.63% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.04% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.36% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 24.66%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Aug 4, 2022 3.30am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Santiago Moreno 27' goal
  • Zac McGraw 90' yellowcard
  • goal Teal Bunbury 20'
  • yellowcard Walker Zimmerman 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Duncan Williams 60'
  • yellowcard Teal Bunbury 67'
Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2022 1.30am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sean Davis 19' goal
  • Duncan Williams 57' goal
  • Walker Zimmerman 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Ayala 29'
  • yellowcard Zac McGraw 50'
  • goal Dairon Asprilla 64'
  • goal Jaroslaw Niezgoda 70'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 28
Jul 6, 2020 12.00am
Major League Soccer Gameweek 4
Mar 8, 2020 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Larrys Mabiala 5' yellowcard
  • Diego Valeri 12' goal
  • Diego Chara 84' yellowcard
  • Chris Duvall 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Lovitz 29'