Major League Soccer

Jun 23, 2024 at 1.30am UK

First Tennessee Park

Nashville
1 - 0
NY City

Boyd (23', 23')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Rodriguez (26'), Rodriguez (26'), Gray (86'), Gray (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Nashville
Thursday, June 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-0 NY City
Thursday, June 20 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 53.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nashville SC in this match.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	New York City FC
53.02% ( 1.62)	23.78% ( -0.88)	23.19% ( -0.74)

Both teams to score 53.7% (

1.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.71% (

2.95)

47.28% (

-2.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.49% (

2.68)

69.51% (

-2.68)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.22% (

1.75)

17.78% (

-1.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.51% (

2.95)

48.49% (

-2.94)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.31% (

0.96)

34.69% (

-0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.58% (

71.41% (

-1)

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 53.02%

New York City FC 23.19%

Draw 23.77%

Nashville SC	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.72) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.39) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.29) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.18) Other @ 3.57% Total : 53.02%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.45) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.8) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.77%	0-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.65) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.09% Total : 23.19%