Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 57.33%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 18.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 57.33% ( | 24.39% ( | 18.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.62% ( | 55.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.42% ( | 76.58% ( |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.81% ( | 19.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.12% ( | 50.88% ( |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.56% ( | 44.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.52% ( | 80.49% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 14.08% ( 2-0 @ 11.62% ( 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 3-0 @ 6.39% ( 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 4-0 @ 2.64% ( 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 3-2 @ 2.1% ( Other @ 3.75% Total : 57.33% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0-0 @ 8.53% ( 2-2 @ 3.82% ( Other @ 0.62% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 1-2 @ 4.63% ( 0-2 @ 2.81% ( 1-3 @ 1.25% ( 2-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 1.64% Total : 18.28% |