Major League Soccer

Jun 20, 2024 at 3.30am UK

Dignity Health Sports Park

LA Galaxy
2 - 0
NY City

Joveljic (41', 41'), Fagundez (49', 49')
Neal (19'), Neal (19'), Aude (29'), Aude (29'), Delgado (62'), Delgado (62')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Rodriguez (31'), Rodriguez (31'), Wolf (45+1'), Wolf (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-2 Kansas
Sunday, June 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 2-3 Columbus Crew
Saturday, June 15 at 1.40am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 52.24%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	New York City FC
52.24% ( -0.12)	22.43% ( 0.05)	25.33% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 60.73% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.89% (

-0.14)

39.11% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.56% (

-0.16)

61.44% (

0.16)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.91% (

-0.09)

15.09% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.36% (

-0.18)

43.64% (

0.18)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.52% (

-0.02)

28.48% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.75% (

-0.02)

64.25% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy 52.24%

New York City FC 25.33%

Draw 22.42%

Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	New York City FC
2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.68% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.97% Total : 52.24%	1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.42%	1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 25.33%